Another Big Month for Chinese Exports China on Tuesday reported another phenomenal month of exports. Its total shipments rose 25% year-on-year in August to $401.4 billion. Meanwhile, total imports increased 28.2% to $282.4 billion. The gap means China is on track to report a second straight year of a trade surplus of well over a trillion… Continue reading China’s Hidden Trade Deficit: Microchips
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TDM Insight: China is Becoming a ‘Factory for Factories’
Another Strong Month The Artificial Intelligence revolution gets the headlines and is being credited for another robust trade month. In July, Chinese exports increased 23.9% year-on-year to $397.9 billion. Its monthly surplus was $112.5 billion, putting it on track for another trillion-dollar annual surplus. “Export and import values remain elevated, helped by soaring global demand… Continue reading TDM Insight: China is Becoming a ‘Factory for Factories’
China’s New Record: Over 1M Cars Exported in a Month
China released eye-popping June trade numbers on Tuesday. “A bit insane,” said Brad Setser of the Council of Foreign Relations, on X. Overall, Chinese exports increased 27% year-on-year to $412.4 billion. Imports expanded even more, by 36% year-on-year, to $286.8 billion. Chinese officials attributed the spike to the new artificial intelligence economy. “With the rapid growth of… Continue reading China’s New Record: Over 1M Cars Exported in a Month
Trade Statistics Show Inflation
AI is Still Driving Trade Despite an increase in protectionism and tariffs, global trade has persisted at a steady pace thanks to a boom in sales of new technologies related to artificial intelligence. The war in the Middle East and subsequent energy crisis have only made economies more focused on restructuring in an environmentally friendly… Continue reading Trade Statistics Show Inflation
Is The U.S.-China Trade War Over?
U.S.-China Summit This Week When Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in Beijing, trade, for once, won’t be the primary topic. Among more severe crises in play are the U.S. war with Iran, the rise of artificial intelligence, and China’s desire to annex Taiwan. After the Trump’s imposition of triple-digit tariffs last year, Beijing… Continue reading Is The U.S.-China Trade War Over?
How AI Is Driving Global Trade
Lower Growth in China In early March, Chinese leadership set their lowest gross domestic product growth target since 1991, forecasting a 4.5% to 5% expansion for its economy in 2026. This week, China reported a 21.8% year-on-year increase in exports for January and February to $656.6 billion. To avoid distorted numbers because of Chinese New… Continue reading How AI Is Driving Global Trade
Global Trade is Moving On — Without the U.S.
One way of looking at China’s trade economy in December and for the full 2025 year is its export surge, amplified by a weak currency, deflation at home, and inflation in most of the rest of the world. China pumped up total monthly exports 6.6% to $357.8 billion in December from $335.6 billion over the… Continue reading Global Trade is Moving On — Without the U.S.
TDM’s Top 10 Trade Trends to Watch in 2026
Happy New Year. While we wait on the Supreme Court to rule whether the Trump administration is entitled to apply tariffs on national security grounds, global trade grinds on. We at Trade Data Monitor are paying attention to what’s happening via the prism of official trade statistics. It’s a radically different world than when I started covering… Continue reading TDM’s Top 10 Trade Trends to Watch in 2026
Chinese Exports Down 1.1% in October
The Chinese export juggernaut finally started to show the impact of protectionism and weaker Western consumer markets in October. A week after Presidents Trump and Xi settled a new trade deal that cut tariffs and put off their trade war for a year, China reported a 1.1% year-on-year drop in exports to $305.3 billion. To… Continue reading Chinese Exports Down 1.1% in October
Casualties of the U.S.-China Trade War: 36 Million Phones
Please Dial a New Number As U.S. and Chinese negotiators try to find a way out of tariff gridlock, one thing is certain: The smartphone supply chain has shifted significantly, upending the practices and expectations of manufacturers, logistics firms, and retailers. China’s exports of mobile phone fell 11.6% year-on-year in August to 60.8 million sets.… Continue reading Casualties of the U.S.-China Trade War: 36 Million Phones
Global Coal Trade is Finally Faltering
China Cuts Coal Imports For years, as governments around the world embraced clean energy technology, coal trade held steady because China was still buying. As the rest of the world turned away from coal, China boosted imports to power its booming electrification, and a vibrant new industry of electric vehicles and batteries. In 2024, it… Continue reading Global Coal Trade is Finally Faltering
China Ramps Up Exports to Vietnam Amid Transshipment Worries
Made in Vietnam (or China) At a time when trade officials around the world are closely watching Vietnam’s evolving place in the global trading system, Chinese exports to the new Asian economic power in June boomed 23.8% year-on-year to $16.3 billion. The U.S.-China trade war has pushed attention of U.S. trade negotiators toward manufacturing powers… Continue reading China Ramps Up Exports to Vietnam Amid Transshipment Worries
50 U.S. States Have 50 Trade Economies
The politics of trade in the U.S. have gotten complicated during this century, mainly because deindustrialization in the Rust Belt has cost so many factories and jobs. The free trade consensus of the 1990s that led to NAFTA and China joining the World Trade Organization in 2001 is dead. But it shouldn’t be lost on… Continue reading 50 U.S. States Have 50 Trade Economies
China Hikes Iron Ore, Copper Imports Amid Car Building Boom
In the somewhat gloomy December and annual China trade statistics released in the second week of January was buried a piece of data that hearkened back to the boom years of Chinese commodity consumption: China is buying a lot more iron ore and copper. In December, China boosted iron ore imports 11.1% year-on-year to 100.9… Continue reading China Hikes Iron Ore, Copper Imports Amid Car Building Boom
Trade Data Monitor’s Top 10 Trade Trends Going Into 2024
It’s not an easy time for global trade–the roughly $25 trillion piece of the $105 trillion world economy. Protectionism is roaring in the U.S. and Europe, causing geopolitical tension with China. Inflation across most of the world has shrunk consumers’ wallets and imports, while deflation in China is also scaring businesses. Asian supply chains are… Continue reading Trade Data Monitor’s Top 10 Trade Trends Going Into 2024
China Doubles Coal and Gas Imports as Global Trade Putters
The world’s biggest exporter reported another month of dismal trade figures for June. Chinese exports declined 13% year-on-year in the month to $285.3 billion, and imports fell 6.9% to $214.7 billion. The decline was driven by a massive drop in consumer spending in the U.S. and Europe, caused by inflation, fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic, and… Continue reading China Doubles Coal and Gas Imports as Global Trade Putters
Trade Data Show Correlations Between Gas and Urea Prices
Correlations between urea and natural gas pricing can exist during periods when supply and demand disruptions are not driving prices. This is logical given that the urea value chain starts with natural gas. Using statistics from Trade Data Monitor, Baltic country (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Russia, and Sweden) natural gas import prices… Continue reading Trade Data Show Correlations Between Gas and Urea Prices
U.S. Gas Exports Surging, High-Tech Supply Chains and Other Key Trade Trends For 2023
The world was rocked in 2022 by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, punishing inflation, and slackening demand in the U.S. and Europe. That’s dampened expectations for exports and imports in 2023. Global trade growth will slow to 1%, according to the World Trade Organization, because of inflation, higher interest rates, weaker demand in the U.S. and… Continue reading U.S. Gas Exports Surging, High-Tech Supply Chains and Other Key Trade Trends For 2023