Why China is Still Buying
If you’re pessimistic about global trade, you’ve likely been paying too much attention to the Beijing-Washington trade spat.
The headline number: In September, Chinese exports to the U.S. declined 27% year-on-year. However, even including that number, China’s monthly exports increased 8.3% year-on-year to $328.6 billion.
The truth is that there…
The Chinese export juggernaut finally started to show the impact of protectionism and weaker Western consumer markets in October.
A week after Presidents Trump and Xi settled a new trade deal that cut tariffs and put off their trade war for a year, China reported a 1.1% year-on-year drop in exports to $305.3 billion.
To…
Global Trade Can Take a Punch
This month, markets have swerved to adjust to the threat of new U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports. Yet, global trade keeps finding a way. In September, although shipments to the U.S. plummeted, China’s monthly exports increased 8.3% year-on-year to $328.6 billion.
One way of looking at the stubborn performance…
Please Dial a New Number
As U.S. and Chinese negotiators try to find a way out of tariff gridlock, one thing is certain: The smartphone supply chain has shifted significantly, upending the practices and expectations of manufacturers, logistics firms, and retailers.
China’s exports of mobile phone fell 11.6% year-on-year in August to 60.8 million sets.…
China Cuts Coal Imports
For years, as governments around the world embraced clean energy technology, coal trade held steady because China was still buying. As the rest of the world turned away from coal, China boosted imports to power its booming electrification, and a vibrant new industry of electric vehicles and batteries. In 2024, it…
Made in Vietnam (or China)
At a time when trade officials around the world are closely watching Vietnam’s evolving place in the global trading system, Chinese exports to the new Asian economic power in June boomed 23.8% year-on-year to $16.3 billion.
The U.S.-China trade war has pushed attention of U.S. trade negotiators toward manufacturing powers…
U.S. Market Collapsing For China
As Americans and Chinese officials scrambled to forge new politically acceptable trade terms, China reported a pandemic-level decline in exports to the U.S.
Chinese shipments to the U.S. fell 34.4% year-on-year in May to $28.8 billion, the steepest drop since Covid-19 upended global trade in February 2020. Chinese imports from…
In the new age of trade geopolitics, the only certainty is uncertainty. What we can do at Trade Data Monitor is take an educated look at trade statistics that measure what’s leaving and entering ports, crossing oceans, and flying through the air. To be sure, the scenario is less than rosy. The World Trade Organization…
First Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Chinese shipments to the U.S. plummeted 21% year-on-year in April as the impact of Washington’s new import tariffs started to punish the world’s largest exporter.
However, as Beijing was quick to point out, China compensated by selling more to its economic partners in Southeast Asia. In a striking coincidence, Chinese…
China’s Economy
When China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, the move was seen as an essential turboboost to a huge but developing country. Without access to global markets, there was no way for China to become the greatest exporter the world has ever seen.
Now, as the backlash to that growth turns into…
Vietnam Pivots Back to Asia
Vietnam, one of the world’s most dynamic economies, now faces one of its most important challenges of this century as it faces protectionist headwinds and tepid consumer economies in the U.S. and Europe.
So far, its formidable export-based economy has seemed up to the task. In 2024, overall exports rose…
Rocky Waters
It’s a perilous time for the global trading system. President Trump has imposed an across-the-board tariff of 20%, in two tranches of 10%, on U.S. imports of Chinese goods. There are threats of more action, on microchips, drugs, and automobiles. Lesser degrees of protectionism in Europe, Canada and elsewhere are also denting confidence…
The Trillion-Dollar Surplus
In 2024, China recorded the biggest global trade surplus in economic history at $992 billion, according to preliminary data released Monday by Beijing. The gap, beating the previous record of $838 billion in 2022, is almost certainly unsustainable. Amid worsening relations with the U.S., Europe and Canada, it may never pass the…
As we inch closer to January 15th to avoid a second strike for U.S. dock workers, Trade Data Monitor (TDM) examines what industries may be most impacted. The deadline to come to an agreement is just five days before the new administration takes office. Across multiple industries, companies and trade associations are urging for the…
The focus of the global trade world is, rightly, on President-elect Donald Trump and his incoming U.S. administration debating and deciding how far Washington will go in enacting new import tariffs and sanctions. How high will the tariff wall go? Will the USMCA be renegotiated? Which industries will be exempted from the new protectionism? There…
Trade in a Time of Geopolitical Adjustment
The focus of the global trade world is, rightly, on President-elect Donald Trump and the U.S. debating and deciding how far they’ll go in enacting new protectionist measures.
But an issue that could upend geopolitics -- with unintended consequences that will affect big issues like war and peace,…
Shake-up in Global Steel
The world of steel trade is in for a shake-up. New climate rules in Europe, the prospect of ramped-up U.S. tariffs on steel and an excess of Chinese steel imports mean companies around the world must calibrate their trade strategies in 2024.
With the U.S. locked in protectionism and the…
This week’s election of Donald Trump as the U.S.’s 47th president is almost certainly likely to lead to another trade war with China, and further tariffs on American imports. During the campaign, Trump said his favorite word was tariff and floated a universal 10% tariff and specific duties on Chinese imports as high as 60%.…
September Rain
China posted lackluster trade figures in September, highlighting how it might become slowly less reliant on global commerce as other major economies retrench.
Chinese exports increased 2.4% year-on-year, below economists’ expectations of around 6%, to $303.7 billion, while imports increased only 0.3% to $222 billon.
The 2024 Boom
For most of 2024, Chinese…
The politics of trade in the U.S. have gotten complicated during this century, mainly because deindustrialization in the Rust Belt has cost so many factories and jobs. The free trade consensus of the 1990s that led to NAFTA and China joining the World Trade Organization in 2001 is dead.
But it shouldn’t be lost on…
The conversation about global trade often leaves out the world’s fourth biggest economy and third top exporter and importer, but Germany is poised to play an even bigger role this decade as China and the U.S. remain locked in a trade war.
In August, Chinese exports to Germany jumped a whopping 21.5% to $10.1 billion.…
During a summer that’s been a boon for free trade despite a looming escalation in trade wars, and the possibility of a second Trump administration, China’s agricultural imports dropped 4.9% year-on-year in July to $17.8 billion.
The trend reflects China’s regulatory practices, strategic protectionism, and shifting demographics. China has blocked some U.S. beef imports because of…
As the business world girds for a fresh wave of trade protectionism and the possibility of a second Trump administration, China bumped up exports of two essential metals. In June, its shipments of steel products increased 20.8% year-on-year by quantity to 8.7 million tons and 3.8% by value to $6.8 billion. Its shipments of unwrought…
Age of the EV
We’re entering the age of the electric vehicle, and global trade is keeping pace. Around 20% of all cars bought in the world in 2023, a total of almost 14 million, were electric, and there are now 40 million on the road, according to the International Energy Agency. Total trade in…
