China’s Hidden Trade Deficit: Microchips

Silicon wafer for manufacturing semiconductor of integrated circuit.

Another Big Month for Chinese Exports China on Tuesday reported another phenomenal month of exports. Its total shipments rose 25% year-on-year in August to $401.4 billion. Meanwhile, total imports increased 28.2% to $282.4 billion. The gap means China is on track to report a second straight year of a trade surplus of well over a trillion… Continue reading China’s Hidden Trade Deficit: Microchips

How AI Is Driving Global Trade

Circuit board and AI micro processor, Artificial intelligence of digital human. 3d render

Lower Growth in China  In early March, Chinese leadership set their lowest gross domestic product growth target since 1991, forecasting a 4.5% to 5% expansion for its economy in 2026.  This week, China reported a 21.8% year-on-year increase in exports for January and February to $656.6 billion. To avoid distorted numbers because of Chinese New… Continue reading How AI Is Driving Global Trade

Global Trade is Moving On — Without the U.S.

One way of looking at China’s trade economy in December and for the full 2025 year is its export surge, amplified by a weak currency, deflation at home, and inflation in most of the rest of the world. China pumped up total monthly exports 6.6% to $357.8 billion in December from $335.6 billion over the… Continue reading Global Trade is Moving On — Without the U.S.

TDM’s Top 10 Trade Trends to Watch in 2026

container yard closeup, port of ningbo zhoushan, China

Happy New Year. While we wait on the Supreme Court to rule whether the Trump administration is entitled to apply tariffs on national security grounds, global trade grinds on. We at Trade Data Monitor are paying attention to what’s happening via the prism of official trade statistics. It’s a radically different world than when I started covering… Continue reading TDM’s Top 10 Trade Trends to Watch in 2026

Is Global Trade Too Strong for Tariffs?

shanghai container terminal in nightfall, busy modern harbor

Global Trade Can Take a Punch This month, markets have swerved to adjust to the threat of new U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports. Yet, global trade keeps finding a way. In September, although shipments to the U.S. plummeted, China’s monthly exports increased 8.3% year-on-year to $328.6 billion. One way of looking at the stubborn performance… Continue reading Is Global Trade Too Strong for Tariffs?

Global Coal Trade is Finally Faltering

Work in port coal handling terminal.

China Cuts Coal Imports For years, as governments around the world embraced clean energy technology, coal trade held steady because China was still buying. As the rest of the world turned away from coal, China boosted imports to power its booming electrification, and a vibrant new industry of electric vehicles and batteries. In 2024, it… Continue reading Global Coal Trade is Finally Faltering

What’s Behind the High-Tech Trade Slump?

Two young women in VR glasses doing experiments in robotics in a laboratory. Robot on the table

It’s not been an easy time for international trade, as a recent report co-authored by Trade Data Monitor and the World Intellectual Property Organization found. High-tech exports are set to decline by 4 percent in 2023, according to the TDM/WIPO analysis. Global and high-tech trade have soared and sunk like rollercoasters since 2019. After the… Continue reading What’s Behind the High-Tech Trade Slump?

Trade Data Monitor’s Top 10 Trade Trends Going Into 2024

Aerial view container cargo ship, import export commerce global business trade logistic and transportation of worldwide by container cargo ship boat in the open sea, Freight shipping maritime.

It’s not an easy time for global trade–the roughly $25 trillion piece of the $105 trillion world economy. Protectionism is roaring in the U.S. and Europe, causing geopolitical tension with China. Inflation across most of the world has shrunk consumers’ wallets and imports, while deflation in China is also scaring businesses. Asian supply chains are… Continue reading Trade Data Monitor’s Top 10 Trade Trends Going Into 2024