John Miller, Author at Trade Data Monitor

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John Miller

114 articles published

China Finally Affected by Protectionist Tariffs

UncategorizedOctober 23, 202489Views 0Likes 0Comments

September Rain China posted lackluster trade figures in September, highlighting how it might become slowly less reliant on global commerce as other major economies retrench. Chinese exports increased 2.4% year-on-year, below economists’ expectations of around 6%, to $303.7 billion, while imports increased only 0.3% to $222 billon. The 2024 Boom For most of 2024, Chinese…

50 U.S. States Have 50 Trade Economies

UncategorizedSeptember 24, 2024342Views 0Likes 0Comments

The politics of trade in the U.S. have gotten complicated during this century, mainly because deindustrialization in the Rust Belt has cost so many factories and jobs. The free trade consensus of the 1990s that led to NAFTA and China joining the World Trade Organization in 2001 is dead. But it shouldn’t be lost on…

Don’t Overlook Germany’s Trade Economy

UncategorizedSeptember 19, 2024493Views 0Likes 0Comments

The conversation about global trade often leaves out the world’s fourth biggest economy and third top exporter and importer, but Germany is poised to play an even bigger role this decade as China and the U.S. remain locked in a trade war. In August, Chinese exports to Germany jumped a whopping 21.5% to $10.1 billion.…

It’s a Good Summer for Trade But China Ag Imports Fell In July

UncategorizedAugust 12, 2024620Views 0Likes 0Comments

During a summer that’s been a boon for free trade despite a looming escalation in trade wars, and the possibility of a second Trump administration, China’s agricultural imports dropped 4.9% year-on-year in July to $17.8 billion. The trend reflects China’s regulatory practices, strategic protectionism, and shifting demographics. China has blocked some U.S. beef imports because of…

How Tariffs Are Reshuffling EV Trade

UncategorizedJuly 11, 2024800Views 0Likes 0Comments

Age of the EV We’re entering the age of the electric vehicle, and global trade is keeping pace. Around 20% of all cars bought in the world in 2023, a total of almost 14 million, were electric, and there are now 40 million on the road, according to the International Energy Agency. Total trade in…

Middle East Trade in the Time of War

UncategorizedJune 5, 20241KViews 0Likes 0Comments

Middle East: The Big Picture In 2024, the Middle East has been hit by conflict, piracy, and the vagaries of supply chains and the oil market. The specter of protectionism appears threatening, especially between countries in conflict with each other. As the U.S. and the European Union slide into a quasi-permanent protectionist mindset, including tit-for-tat…

Lithium-Ion Batteries Top Victim of New U.S. Tariffs

UncategorizedMay 22, 20241KViews 0Likes 0Comments

As the world’s top source of monthly trade statistics for governments, corporations, NGOs, law firms, and international institutions, Trade Data Monitor carefully tracks shifts in trade terms. At the top of the list is tariffs, and we’ll be monitoring how new import tariffs are changing trade flows. New U.S. Tariffs On May 14, the U.S.…

TDM Insight: Vietnamese Exports Rebound in 2024

UncategorizedMay 15, 2024977Views 0Likes 0Comments

After a tepid recovery in 2023, Vietnam’s trade machine appears to be firing on all cylinders so far in 2024. The country boosted exports 16.8% year-on-year to $92.9 billion in the first quarter, underpinning gross domestic product growth of 5.7%. This is no coincidence. Vietnam’s export sector is key to its economic growth. It is…

China’s EV Export Boom is Driving up Demand for RoRo Ships

UncategorizedApril 15, 2024747Views 0Likes 0Comments

China’s electric car export boom has fueled demand in the country for automobile transport ships, driving up prices for foreign buyers. Overall, in March, Chinese ship exports fell 5.9% year-on-year by quantity in March to 399, after steadily rising for most of this decade. By value, they increased 34% to $3.1 billion. So called Roll-on/roll-off,…

China Reboots Trade Thanks to Africa, India, Latin America

UncategorizedMarch 11, 20241KViews 0Likes 0Comments

Don’t let anybody tell you that globalization is dying—at least, not yet. Global trade economists obsess over consumer demand and rising protectionism in the U.S. and Europe, but this week’s release of Chinese trade statistics shows that other markets might soon be catching up in relevance. The Promise of Other Markets China’s exports to Latin…

Vietnam’s Secret Weapon: Agriculture

UncategorizedMarch 1, 20241KViews 0Likes 0Comments

In a tricky global economy, Vietnamese exports shrank in 2023, but the rising economic power managed to be one of the only countries to increase merchandise exports to China, thanks to a surprising surge in exports of fruits and vegetables, as well as rice, demonstrating the importance of export diversification. The Difficulties of 2023 The country of…

What’s Behind the High-Tech Trade Slump?

UncategorizedFebruary 16, 2024783Views 0Likes 0Comments

It’s not been an easy time for international trade, as a recent report co-authored by Trade Data Monitor and the World Intellectual Property Organization found. High-tech exports are set to decline by 4 percent in 2023, according to the TDM/WIPO analysis. Global and high-tech trade have soared and sunk like rollercoasters since 2019. After…

China Hikes Iron Ore, Copper Imports Amid Car Building Boom

UncategorizedJanuary 23, 20241KViews 0Likes 0Comments

In the somewhat gloomy December and annual China trade statistics released in the second week of January was buried a piece of data that hearkened back to the boom years of Chinese commodity consumption: China is buying a lot more iron ore and copper. In December, China boosted iron ore imports 11.1% year-on-year to 100.9…

The Future of EU-China Trade

UncategorizedDecember 21, 20231KViews 0Likes 0Comments

As European Union leaders gathered in Beijing Thursday, one of their demands for China was a more equal trading relationship. “China is the EU’s most important trading partner,” said EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. “But there are clear imbalances and differences that we must address.” Europe’s weak consumer economy is doing its part…

Trade Data Monitor’s Top 10 Trade Trends Going Into 2024

UncategorizedDecember 20, 20232KViews 0Likes 0Comments

It’s not an easy time for global trade--the roughly $25 trillion piece of the $105 trillion world economy. Protectionism is roaring in the U.S. and Europe, causing geopolitical tension with China. Inflation across most of the world has shrunk consumers’ wallets and imports, while deflation in China is also scaring businesses. Asian supply chains are…

TDM Data Used to Scrutinize Impact of Steel and Aluminum Tariffs

UncategorizedNovember 15, 20231KViews 0Likes 0Comments

Trade scholars in a recent paper used Trade Data Monitor data on steel and aluminum trade to gauge the impact of 2018-2019 protectionist measures on U.S. and European Union imports. The paper by Simon Evenett and Fernando Martin, published by the Center for European Policy Research, found that because the U.S. and European Union…

China Boosts Imports of Raw Materials by Double Digits

UncategorizedNovember 13, 20232KViews 0Likes 0Comments

China in October dramatically increased imports of fossil fuels, industrial metals and agricultural commodities, a run on raw materials that if sustained will have a major impact on prices and supply chains. China continued to increase its ferocious energy consumption, hiking imports of natural gas 120.1% year-on-year to 8.8 million tons, coal 23.3% to 36…

Amid Play for U.S. Steel, Buyers Face Supply Crisis, Trade Data Shows

UncategorizedAugust 16, 2023903Views 0Likes 0Comments

The ongoing corporate jousting for U.S. Steel has created another round of uncertainty for American industry. The fate of the venerable 122-year-old firm remains uncertain, but buyers of steel face a supply chain crisis, trade data suggests. The U.S. has fallen to fourth in the world in steelmaking, at around 86 million tons, behind China…

Vietnam’s Niche Export Sectors Highlight Complexity of Global Trade

UncategorizedJuly 27, 20231KViews 0Likes 0Comments

As global trade putters in 2023, because of weak consumer demand, lingering Covid fallout and protectionist tensions, the slackening has highlighted niche sectors in the global economy where trade is still robust. The upshot: We’re no longer living in a world where every consumer is buying more stuff and everything is made in China, or…

China Goes To Europe

UncategorizedMay 12, 2023764Views 0Likes 0Comments

There’s so much focus on the U.S.-China trade relationship and its frequent fireworks that it’s often forgotten that the European Union, still the world’s preeminent free-trade alliance, with 447 million consumers, is the better customer. In April, exports to the European Union increased 4.1% year-on-year to $44.7 billion, while exports to the U.S. dropped 6.2%…

Vietnamese Exports Slump But Its Consumers Are Buying Cars

UncategorizedMay 4, 2023890Views 0Likes 0Comments

The steep drop in Vietnam’s exports and imports during the first quarter of 2023 points to vulnerabilities in the country of around 100 million’s economy, as well as slumping factory orders and business confidence around the world. Vietnam’s quarterly exports fell 11.8% year-on-year to $79.3 billion in the first three months of 2023. Trade makes…

Vietnam’s Weak December Exports Hint at Challenge For Global Economy

UncategorizedJanuary 23, 2023709Views 0Likes 0Comments

Vietnam, which has become a global trade powerhouse and one of the global economy’s key world trade indicators, posted weak exports in December, suggesting a challenging economic situation in 2023. In December, exports fell 15.8% year-on-year to $29 billion. Because Vietnam has become a manufacturing platform for so many companies making high-tech and other consumer…

South America Commodities Bumped by Global Slowdown

UncategorizedNovember 17, 2022730Views 0Likes 0Comments

As the global economy slows, it's denting global trade and hurting economies in farflung places. The World Trade Organization now expects global trade to grow at 1% next year instead of 3.4%. One of the regions most impacted will be South America, where trade will increase only 0.3% in 2023, according to the WTO. South…

Six Trends for Vietnam’s Export Machine

UncategorizedOctober 17, 20221KViews 0Likes 0Comments

The question for Vietnam is no longer whether it’s going to become an export powerhouse. Exports in the first nine months of 2022 rose 17.2% to $282.3 billion, helping the economy expand almost 14% in the third quarter. Shipments to key markets like the U.S. are rising, key multinational firms are flocking to Vietnam to…